Trump leads Biden for fourth straight week, national polling finds

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. – For now a month straight, former President Donald Trump has maintained a narrow lead over President Joe Biden nationally for the 2024 presidential election, latest polling shows.

Trump currently holds a little less than a single-point lead over Biden, resting at +0.8% over the current president.

His national support is an average of 45.3%, while Biden’s is 44.5%, the RealClearPolitics average shows.

However, some recent polling has begun to hand Biden a narrow lead. Of the current average of 13 polls, six of them resulted in a tie, four with Biden in the lead and four with Trump in the lead.

Despite Trump’s lead being within the margin of error and statistically negligible, he is positioned nearly 7% better than he was at this time of the 2020 election season, when he also faced Biden.

During the 2020 cycle, Trump never once led Biden in the polling average.

Come election day 2020, he was behind in the polls by over seven points, which resulted in a very narrow loss in just a few swing states.

Trump has ramped up foreign policy campaign rhetoric this week as a war broke out between Hamas, a terrorist group, and Israel in the Middle East.

“Crooked Joe Biden gave us the war on Israel, and the war on American Energy…As president, I will shut off Iranian oil, and I will turn on American oil—we will DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!!” Trump said at a Florida speech this week.

“Under Biden, the same people that attacked Israel—killing, raping, torturing, and maiming innocent civilians—are right now pouring into our once beautiful USA,” he added.

Trump must first obtain the Republican presidential nomination in mid-2024 from the Republican National Committee’s convention.

Voting in the GOP primary begins in January 2024 with the Iowa caucus, followed by New Hampshire and other states like Nevada and South Carolina.

Gov. Ron DeSantis has held second place in the GOP primary since it began, polling from RealClearPolitics shows. However, DeSantis faces a steep national gap of around 45 points.

DeSantis has been polling near 13% national support, followed by former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley at nearly 8% and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy at around 6%. Trump has nearly 60% support among Republican primary voters.

The former president recently predicted DeSantis would “soon” drop out of the primary.