Another poll suggests Florida is out of reach for Biden in 2024
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – Another mid-March poll conducted in the Sunshine State again suggests Florida is no longer in play for the 2024 presidential election.
The state, which went for former President Donald Trump by around 3% in 2020 and 1% in 2016, could be slated to go for Trump by 7%, according to a new poll from Redfield & Wilton Strategies, sponsored by The Telegraph.
In a hypothetical 2024 general election between Trump and President Joe Biden, the poll of 875 likely voters, conducted March 14-17, gave Trump 46% support to Biden’s 39%. The poll, however, included independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, who clocked in at 7%.
The latest result comes just days after a poll from St. Pete Polls finding Trump with a 6% advantage over Biden, 48% to 42%.
Florida has been less polled as 2024 began. The last poll of 2023 for Florida, also from Redfield, gave Trump an 11% lead.
Should the average of these polls pan out, Florida could swing to the right since 2020 to the tune of anywhere from 3% to 8%.
As Florida’s Voice documented this year, Trump’s campaign recognizes the former president’s strength in Florida, but won’t be taking it for granted either.
According to data compiled by Florida’s Voice, party registrations suggest Trump does indeed have the potential to win Florida by double-digits, and almost certainly more than his 2020 margin of around 3%.
In 2022, the state went for Gov. Ron DeSantis and other statewide Republicans by around 20%. The election had not only strong GOP turnout, but depressed Democratic turnout.
What’s more, as of mid-March, Republicans lead Democrats in the state by voter registration to the tune of over 870,000.
